AirTravelQuestions

Best Time to Book Flights for Thanksgiving

Best Time to Book Flights for Thanksgiving

Quick Answer

Thanksgiving flights are predictably expensive, but the timing of your purchase makes a huge difference. Book in the right window and you'll save 20-30% over last-minute shoppers.

The Quick Answer

Book your Thanksgiving flights in early to mid-October, about 39 days before departure. The sweet spot falls between 24-59 days out. Fly on Thanksgiving Day itself for the cheapest fares (around $470 average), and avoid the Sunday after Thanksgiving at all costs (average $802). Tuesday and Wednesday bookings tend to surface the lowest published fares.

The Optimal Booking Window

Thanksgiving is the busiest travel period in the US. Roughly 55 million Americans fly somewhere for the holiday. Airlines know this and price accordingly. But there's a predictable pricing pattern you can exploit.

The Timeline

  • August-September: Fares are published but not optimized. Airlines are still gauging demand. Prices are moderate but not at their lowest. Fine to book if you see a deal, but don't panic-buy.
  • Early October: The sweet spot begins. Airlines have a clearer demand picture and start releasing competitive fares to fill remaining seats. Google Flights data shows the average lowest fare appears about 39 days before Thanksgiving.
  • Mid-October: Peak booking window. This is the single best time to purchase. Prices are at their lowest point on the pricing curve.
  • Late October (Halloween): Last call for good deals. After Halloween, prices start climbing noticeably. If you haven't booked by October 31, you're paying a premium.
  • Early November: Prices are rising. You've missed the bottom but can still find reasonable fares if you're flexible on dates.
  • November 15+: Surge pricing territory. Expect to pay 20-40% more than the October sweet spot. The closer you get to Thanksgiving, the worse it gets.

Best Day of the Week to Book

Tuesday and Wednesday tend to have the lowest published fares. Airlines often release fare discounts on Mondays, and by midweek those lower prices have cascaded through the system. It's not a massive difference (maybe $10-$30), but it's consistent enough to time your purchase around.

Cheapest Days to Fly

The day you travel is where the real savings happen. The difference between the cheapest and most expensive Thanksgiving travel days is over $300.

Cheapest Departure Days

  • Thanksgiving Day (Thursday): The cheapest day of the entire holiday window, averaging about $470 one-way. Most people have already arrived, so planes have empty seats. If your family doesn't mind a late arrival for dinner, this is the move. Many travelers fly out Thursday morning and arrive in time for a late Thanksgiving meal.
  • The day after Thanksgiving (Friday): The second cheapest at around $517 average. You'll miss Thanksgiving dinner but save substantially.
  • Monday or Tuesday before Thanksgiving: Moderately priced. If you can leave a few days early, you'll avoid the Wednesday crush and save $100-$200.

Most Expensive Days

  • Wednesday before Thanksgiving: The most expensive departure day at roughly $756 average one-way. This is the single worst day to fly. Airports are packed, flights are full, and you're paying peak pricing. Avoid this day if at all possible.
  • Sunday after Thanksgiving: The most expensive return day at about $802 average. Everyone flies back on Sunday, and airlines price accordingly.
  • Saturday after Thanksgiving: Nearly as bad at $698 average. The entire weekend after Thanksgiving is a pricing nightmare.

The Money-Saving Play

Fly out on Thanksgiving Day (Thursday). Return on Tuesday or Wednesday the following week. This combination saves $300-$500 compared to the typical Wednesday-out, Sunday-back pattern that most people follow. You'll need an extra vacation day, but the savings more than cover it.

Time of Day Matters

Early morning flights are consistently cheaper than midday or evening departures. A 6 AM departure can be $50-$100 less than a 10 AM flight on the same route and date. Nobody wants to wake up at 4 AM for a flight, and that lack of demand translates to lower prices.

Red-eye flights (late night) are also cheaper than peak-hour options. If you can sleep on a plane, a late-night departure on Wednesday saves money and gets you there while the Wednesday crowd is sitting in airport bars paying full price.

Consider a Layover

Nonstop flights are convenient. Connecting flights are cheaper. During Thanksgiving, the savings are even more pronounced.

Opting for a flight with one stop saves an average of 22% on airfare compared to nonstop. On a $500 Thanksgiving ticket, that's $110 in savings. The connection adds 1-3 hours to your travel time, but you're probably going to be sitting in traffic or a packed airport anyway.

The best connecting hubs for Thanksgiving travel are Dallas (DFW), Denver (DEN), Chicago (ORD), and Atlanta (ATL). These airports handle high volumes efficiently and have plenty of food and entertainment options if you have a layover.

Price Tracking Strategy

Don't just check prices once. Thanksgiving fares fluctuate daily. Set up automated tracking and let the tools do the work.

  • Google Flights: Track your exact route and dates. Google sends alerts when prices change. The price graph shows you the trend so you can see if fares are climbing or falling.
  • Hopper: Uses predictive analytics to tell you whether to buy now or wait. Their "Watch This Trip" feature monitors your flight and recommends when to purchase.
  • Airline apps: Southwest, Delta, United, and American all have price alert features in their apps. Set alerts for your route directly.

Start tracking in September. By the time October arrives, you'll have 4-6 weeks of price data and a clear sense of whether fares are trending up or down.

Southwest Is Your Safety Net

Southwest Airlines deserves a special mention for Thanksgiving travel. Here's why:

  • No change fees: Book whenever you see a decent price. If the fare drops later, cancel and rebook at the lower price. You get the difference as travel credit.
  • Free checked bags: Two checked bags included. When Spirit charges $45 per bag, Southwest's "higher" base fare is actually cheaper once you add bags.
  • Bags fly free: This matters more during holidays when you're lugging gifts.
  • Wanna Get Away fares: Their lowest fare tier is competitive with budget carriers once you factor in bag fees.

The Southwest strategy: book early at whatever price is available. Keep checking. If the price drops, cancel and rebook. If it doesn't drop, you've locked in a fare and eliminated the stress.

Budget Carrier Warning

Spirit, Frontier, and Allegiant look cheap at first glance. But during Thanksgiving, their add-on fees can make them more expensive than legacy carriers.

  • A checked bag on Spirit: $45-$65
  • A carry-on on Frontier: $40-$60
  • Seat selection: $5-$50

A $150 Spirit fare with a checked bag and carry-on becomes $260-$275. Compare that to a $280 Delta or United fare that includes a carry-on and personal item. The legacy carrier is often the better deal during holidays when you're traveling with luggage.

Always compare total cost, not base fare.

What If You're Booking Late?

It's November 15 and you haven't booked. Here's your playbook:

  • Fly on Thanksgiving Day: Even at the last minute, Thursday fares are the lowest.
  • Check alternate airports: A smaller airport 2 hours away might have much lower fares than your local hub.
  • Use points or miles: Award seat availability is sometimes better last-minute than you'd expect. Airlines prefer to give a seat away for points than fly empty.
  • Consider driving: If your destination is under 6 hours away, driving might be cheaper and less stressful than a last-minute Thanksgiving flight.
  • Book one-way tickets: Mix and match airlines. The cheapest outbound might be Delta while the cheapest return is Southwest.

Frequently Asked Questions

How many weeks before Thanksgiving should I book my flight?

Book about 5-6 weeks before Thanksgiving, with the ideal being around 39 days out (early to mid-October). The safe window is 24-59 days before departure. After Halloween, prices climb steeply. Booking in early November means paying 20-40% more than the October sweet spot.

Is it cheaper to fly on Thanksgiving Day?

Yes, significantly. Thanksgiving Day is consistently the cheapest day to fly during the entire holiday window, averaging about $470 one-way compared to $756 on the Wednesday before. Most people have already arrived, leaving empty seats and lower fares. You can often arrive in time for a late Thanksgiving dinner.

What is the most expensive day to fly for Thanksgiving?

The Sunday after Thanksgiving is the most expensive at about $802 average one-way. The Wednesday before Thanksgiving is the most expensive departure day at roughly $756. Avoid both if possible. Flying out Thursday and returning Tuesday or Wednesday the following week saves $300-$500.

Do Thanksgiving flight prices drop at the last minute?

Almost never. Thanksgiving flights get progressively more expensive as the holiday approaches. Prices climb steeply after Halloween and peak in the final two weeks before the holiday. Last-minute Thanksgiving flights typically cost 30-50% more than fares booked in early October.

Should I book a round trip or two one-way tickets for Thanksgiving?

Compare both options. Booking two one-way tickets on different airlines can save money when the cheapest outbound carrier isn't the cheapest return carrier. For example, a Spirit flight out on Thursday and a Southwest return on Tuesday might cost less than a Delta round trip. Google Flights makes this easy to compare.

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